PL4IN

Won 126 of 274 matches in this window, holding tier E. Weighing the tiers on both sides of each of those matches, the model expected about 150 wins - so PL4IN is -24.1 against what the tiers predicted.

The tier looks too high

PL4IN wins fewer than tier E predicts, so the tier is too high. Luck alone explains a gap this big less than 1 time in 100.

MOVE DOWN: E → A

How those 274 matches went

Going inMatchesWonLost
Favoured1298247
Underdog762551
Evenly matched691950

Favoured means the model gave their team better than an even chance before the match. A record built on favoured games is not the same as one built against the odds, and the totals hide the difference.

Covering 2025-09-19 to 2026-09-18, 4580 matches.

Built 2026-09-19T07:59:07+00:00. Model fitted 2026-09-19 on 6394 matches of 3v3 history, 2024-12-04 to 2026-09-19.