Won 70 of 146 matches in this window, holding tier S. Weighing the tiers on both sides of each of those matches, the model expected about 83 wins - so KRESTI is -12.8 against what the tiers predicted.
KRESTI wins fewer than tier S predicts, so the tier is too high. Luck alone explains a gap this big less than 1 time in 20.
CONSIDER MOVING DOWN: S → E
| Going in | Matches | Won | Lost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Favoured | 87 | 51 | 36 |
| Underdog | 30 | 7 | 23 |
| Evenly matched | 29 | 12 | 17 |
Favoured means the model gave their team better than an even chance before the match. A record built on favoured games is not the same as one built against the odds, and the totals hide the difference.
Covering 2025-09-19 to 2026-09-18, 4580 matches.
Built 2026-09-19T07:59:07+00:00. Model fitted 2026-09-19 on 6394 matches of 3v3 history, 2024-12-04 to 2026-09-19.