Won 448 of 785 matches in this window, holding tier E. Weighing the tiers on both sides of each of those matches, the model expected about 394 wins - so M R C is +54.2 against what the tiers predicted.
M R C wins more than tier E predicts, so the tier is too low. Luck alone explains a gap this big less than 1 time in 100.
MOVE UP: E → S
| Going in | Matches | Won | Lost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Favoured | 289 | 210 | 79 |
| Underdog | 328 | 149 | 179 |
| Evenly matched | 168 | 89 | 79 |
Favoured means the model gave their team better than an even chance before the match. A record built on favoured games is not the same as one built against the odds, and the totals hide the difference.
Covering 2025-09-19 to 2026-09-18, 4580 matches.
Built 2026-09-19T07:59:07+00:00. Model fitted 2026-09-19 on 6394 matches of 3v3 history, 2024-12-04 to 2026-09-19.