Won 38 of 68 matches in this window, holding tier B. Weighing the tiers on both sides of each of those matches, the model expected about 30 wins - so bodo is +8.0 against what the tiers predicted.
bodo wins more than tier B predicts, so the tier is too low. Luck alone explains a gap this big less than 1 time in 20.
CONSIDER MOVING UP: B → A
| Going in | Matches | Won | Lost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Favoured | 18 | 11 | 7 |
| Underdog | 36 | 15 | 21 |
| Evenly matched | 14 | 12 | 2 |
Favoured means the model gave their team better than an even chance before the match. A record built on favoured games is not the same as one built against the odds, and the totals hide the difference.
Covering 2025-09-19 to 2026-09-18, 4580 matches.
Built 2026-09-19T07:59:07+00:00. Model fitted 2026-09-19 on 6394 matches of 3v3 history, 2024-12-04 to 2026-09-19.